Thursday, 17 November 2016

Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal

PICK: over 2,5 goals @2,42 PINNACLE 5/10

Match between 7th and 3rd team in Spanish La Liga will start on Sunday at 20:45 on San Mames Barria.

Athletic's last lost on San Mames was on end of August when they were beated by Barcelona with 0-1.Since then they're matches on San Mames finished with results: 2-1 Valencia, 3-1 Sevilla, 3-2 Real Sociedad, 1-1 Osasuna. They have Benat back in squad, and in my opinion he is the best midfielder in team and his creativity will help them to create chances even against tough opponent as Villarreal is. In attack they have no problems, so we can expect Aduriz with Inaki, Munian and Raul Garcia behind him.

Villarreal is in great shape in domestic league. They are still holding 3rd place and they're performances are on high level. In last match against Betis they scored two screamers, but missed opened chances, and if they're attackers will be on average level, I am not afraid about scoring goals on San Mames.

We can expect tough fight, because those two teams are rivals on table for long years. If I am comparing statistics I can see big advantage in aerial duels for home team. On the other side I think that Villarreal's mentality is little bit higher then Athletic's and I am expecting that they will posses bigger percentage of possession. In my opinion we will watch two strong sides, specially in attack and even if Villarreal conceded only 7 goals in 11 matches, I think that this over/under situation is closer to 50/50 then the odds are showing.

FT: 1-0

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