Sunday, 27 November 2016

Real Sociedad - Barcelona

PICK: Barcelona 1st half AH -0,5 @2,05 PINNACLE 3/10

Match between 3rd and 5th team of La Liga Santander will be played at 20:45 on Anoeta in San Sebastian.

Real Sociedad is in great form recently - winning 4 matches in row, 3 times with keeping a clean sheet! That statistics is even crazier, between those 4 wins, there is win against Atletico Madrid with clean sheet. All players are in good form, Vela is back in first eleven, William Jose is best scorer (I was writing about him on start of the season a lot). They're convert ration is pretty high, and they are one of teams who doesn't need a lot of chances to score. Bergara and Pardo are still injured, but they're first eleven is in great form, so I can say, that there is no problems with injuries.

Barcelona is playing far from specially good recently. They're matches are depending on Lionel Messi form, while Neymar and Suarez are in far from expected. Midfield is almost invisible, while they are more and more used to play with counter-attacks. Midfielders are somehow "transforming" to runners and that's one of reasons why Sergio's performances are far from that what we were used to see from him under Guardiola for example. Important thing is that Pique is back, and if there is lots of concerns about form and performances at some players, Barca fans can be happy about Gerard's form, because he is maybe playing the best football of his career. A shame is that Umtiti is still not there, but also Mascherano raised his form so the central defenders should be fine.

I am going with first half odds here, because I can see value in them. If Barca will be behind on this match, they will have big big problems to turn it around, but on the other hand - Sociedad will play they're football. They saw that it brought results against Atletico, and why not against Barcelona then? They are trying a lot over left flank, where left full back Yuri and left winger Oyarzabal are really doing well and they created many goals this season (Oyarzabal has 4 assists). And because they are used to play offensively there, I see problems for them, because this is side of Lionel Messi. I predict that Enrique will try to "penetrate" over this flank, because there will be lots of space, also from counter-attacks. I know that Barca is winless here for 10 years, but there is one difference. Sociedad is not coming to this match as big underdog as they were used to. It won't be that big surprise if Barca will fail here. It's not kind of game for Basque club, where they have nothing to lose.. It's a tricky one, but I am givin Barcelona more then 50% that they will be in lead in first half-time so there is value for me.

HT: 0-0

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