Friday, 25 November 2016

Real Madrid - Sporting Gijon

PICK: Sporting Gijon AH +3,25 @1,862 PINNACLE 3/10

Match between 1st and 18th team in La Liga will be played at 16:15 on Santiago Bernabeu.

Real Madrid is coming to match after win in Lisbon, with which they qualified for 1/16 of CL, but they still have match with BVB in front of them, which will decide who will finish the group on 1st place. This week they're playing against Gijon, and because El Clasico is almost here (on 3rd December), I believe that Zidane won't take too big risk with his injured players and that he will rest some of them. Morata and Kroos are already out. New player out is Bale who will be out approx. for 4 months, but Casemiro and Pepe are coming back after injury. Marcelo was substituted against Sporting because of injury. Zizou could rest also Carvajal or Modrić. There is also fact that Sergio Ramos is just one yellow card away from suspension so it can happen that Real will start match with plenty of rotations (out for sure: Kroos, Morata, Bale; possible rest: Ramos, Modrić, Carvajal, Pepe, Marcelo,..).

Sporting is in awful form. They got only 2 points in last 6 matches, and Abelardo's team is facing a big problems. They're coming on Santiago Bernabeu without Burgui, who is Real's player and can not play against his parent club while Lilo is coming back on his right back position after being suspended in last round.

Let's be honest. Real with full strength is at least 5 goals better club than Gijon, but I am sure that Gijon will play this match with 105%, crazily motivated and probably also crazily defensively. Football is improving from year to year, those small teams are getting better in better in tactics with defensive approach and counters, and if Varane and Nacho will play on centre back positions, I am pretty sure that Gijon will have they're chances to score here. Don't get me wrong, they are both fantastic players, but they're not experienced as Ramos for example, and lack of motivation or focus can be enough that Gijon will come into good position for scoring. Real will be all over the pitch, they will be much better side, but I think that final result will be with 2-3 goals difference.

FT: 2-1

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