Tuesday, 8 November 2016

Uruguay - Ecuador

PICK: Uruguay AH -0,75 @1,83 PINNACLE 3/10
Football / WC Qualifications / Kick off: 11 Nov 2016, 0:00

Uruguay is coming into match like 2nd placed team of qualifications, while Ecuador is sitting right behind with 3 points less. There is one notable difference between those two teams in this match and this is that Uruguay has no problems with getting 3 points at home: 3-0 Columbia, 3-0 Chile, 1-0 Peru, 4-0 Paraguay, 3-0 Venezuela; while Ecuador - even if they managed to get more than 50% points on away matches in those qualifiers, they didn't win in last 6 matches away from home. It's true that on 6th of October they managed big win against Chile at home (3-0), but 4 days later it was totally different against Bolivia where they played bore draw (2-2), equalising in second half after being behind 2-0.  

Oscar Tabarez, head coach of Uruguay said that Cavani rejected an offer to stay in Paris to recover from thigh injury and is fighting to be able to play qualification game against Ecuador. First match in Quito ended with win for Ecuador (2-1), so it's time for payback. Suarez is ready in good goalscoring form, and even if Uruguay will need to compete without first goalscorer in qualifications - Edison Cavani, they're still favourites in my eyes. 

Ecuador believes that they can surprise Uruguay once again, but they will need to do it without Antonio Valencia who injured his arm and is out of squad. 

Teams are somehow similar. They are enjoying high tempo, playing aggressively, but in my opinion home pitch counts a lot in those cases. Uruguayans will be cheered by they're crazy fans. Possession will be somewhere in edge, but individually Uruguay has bigger guns, and I think that those two facts will decide the game. When talking about individuals we need to mention also Godin, who is one of best defenders in the world for few years now. With Coates (196 cm) they are pretty dangerous also from set-pieces, so my call here is Uruguay.

FT: 2-1

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