Wednesday, 21 December 2016

Nantes - Montpellier

PICK: Nantes AH -0,5 @2,30 PINNACLE 3/10

Match between 19th and 11th placed team in French Ligue 1 will be played at 20:50 on Stade de Beaujoire in Nantes.


Nantes is coming to match after 2 wins in row. In those two matches they scored 5 goals, which is same amount as "Girard's Nantes" scored in 8 matches before. Conceicao changed a lot of things, they're game style is totally different and team is aggresive, playing with high pressure and what is important, they are not afraid to attack. I was writing many times that at FCN everything is about defence, and in attack all they're trying is with crosses from the flanks. Now things are different, and I think that better times are coming for Les Canaries in second part of season. Thomason is suspended, while Kacaniklic is not fully fit. With Iloki and Harit on wings they look much better team. Girard was using Harit in midfield, sometimes as defensive midfielder and it's obvious that he is player who likes to have space and likes to be in 1on1 situations. Conceicao gave that to him, and he is playing better.

Montpellier whose key player Boudebouz is injured again, won against Bordeaux with 4-0 in last round and it looked like they're fine without Algerian offensive midfielder. 1 week ago, they played on La Beaujoire and lost 3-1. It's true that it was first match of Conceicao on bench of FCN and that Montpellier was playing with some rotations, I think that they will have problems tonight as well. Ninga and Boudebouz are two players on which they were counting the most in front of the season, but now they are without both of them.

With Boudebouz in team I wouldn't touch this match, but now I simply see some value in those odds. Nantes is still flying on "new manager" fact, playing much better, specially with more confidence. Montpellier is one of the teams who is not paying too much attention to defend wings, which could be a big problem against Nantes, specially now under Conceicao, where also full backs Dubois and specially Lima are coming in attack more often.

FT: 1-0

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