Friday, 2 December 2016

Nice - Toulouse

PICK: Nice AH -0,5 @2,14 SBO 6/10

Match between 1st and 8th placed team in French Ligue 1 will be played on Sunday at 20:45 on Allianz Riviera in Nice. Difference between teams is 14 points, which is more then between 8th and 20th place (only 11).

Nice is coming to match after important win against Guingamp. We could say that in match of two biggest surprises this season, the 1st one won and climb back on first place. Monaco failed in Dijon, so Nice is 3 points in front of them, but PSG is following with 1 point less then Nice, and if they want to stay on first place before going on Parc des Princes in next round, then they need to win against Toulouse. There is no differences in squad as Balo and Baysee remain the only missing, but as we know Favre, we can expect some rotations. Nice is on 1st place for 10 rounds now, all in all with 11 wins in 15 rounds, and that just proves they're quality. 

Toulouse is coming to match after win against Montpellier at home, but they were far from spectacular. Montpellier had some great great chances, also the "empty netter chance" for Mounié, but they missed everything. Even Boudebouz missed goal from 10-11 meters and in last minutes Mounié had another great chance after mistake of Toulouse's defence, but Lafont saved them again. It was quite strange match, but Toulouse managed to score in 18th minute, from the action from set-piece - it was a through ball from Bodiger to Braithwaite who's shot was saved by Lafont, but bounced ball came directly on chest of Sylla who scored and that was the only goal on the match. After that goal they were mainly defending themselves and luckily succeeded. For the match against Nice they will be without suspended defender Jullien and midfielder Doumbia. Trejo and Ninkov are out already because of injuries, while also Michelin and Moubandje, both full backs are on injury list now after picking up knocks in last match. Diop and Blin should return to the squad, but even them are not 100% fit.

In my opinion bookmakers are still underestimating Nice. It's true that they play draw against Bastia on last time, but not that they were better and that they should win, they were much much better, and they should win with 2-3 goals difference at least! Plea missed 1on1 chance again, this time against Guingamp and for goods of Nice, he needs to come back to form, because next match against PSG will be very very important. Balotelli is working hard to come back till derby, but they will need Plea in form as well if they want to beat Parisians. Against Toulouse I expect nothing else then possession and control in hands of Nice, they will create much more chances then Toulouse, who's in big problems with little injuries. It's a 3rd match in 7 days, and busy schedule affected them. On next match they will play against Lorient against who they should win.

FT: 3-0

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