Friday, 9 December 2016

Osasuna - Barcelona

PICK: Barcelona AH -2 @1,90 PINNACLE 5/10

Match between 2nd and 20th placed team in La Liga Santander, will be played on Saturday at 12:00 on Estadio El Sadar in Pamplona.

Osasuna is coming to match after 4 defeats in row. One of them was in Copa del Rey against Granada, while two of them are against teams like Gijon and Leganes. It's true that both matches were away, but that doesn't change the fact that those two teams are someone from who they should take points if they want to stay in league. They lost both matches with 2 goals difference, and they looked poor in both matches. They are playing in 5-4-1 formation, very defensive, without real idea in attack. They're average possession is 42,,9%, which means that they will be under 35%, possibly even under 30% against Barca. 

I need to admit, that there are improvements in last two matches at Catalans. They deserved to win on El Clasico, but Real managed to equalize in last seconds of the match. In midweek they played without Neymar, and Arda showed again that he should play on wing position and not as central midfielder. He scored hat-trick and added assist to Lionel Messi. I think that is even better that Neymar is out, because his performances lately were far from expected. Other players deserve to play as well, and if Lucho is not "strong" enough to let him on the bench, at least he is out due to yellow cards. Paco added assist as well, but his performances are far from something special, so I expect him on the bench and Suarez back in first eleven. Against Gladbach, I was able to feel joy on the pitch of Camp Nou after a while. Aleix Vidal showed, that he deserved to play, and he could be solution for Roberto's average performances on right full back position. Question is if Iniesta will start from 1st minute, for now it looks that he will, and with him everything looks easier in midfield. One of key things is also return of Umtiti, one of the best players of Barcelona this season. Catalans catch the moment, and they need to finish this year without mistakes. 

I expect total control of Barcelona, with possession above 65%, probably 70%, with lots of created chances and with not even average conversion ratio they will score at least 3 times here. Osasuna's form is far from good, and even if people are saying that they have nothing to lose against teams like Barcelona, with 7 points after 14 rounds, I think that they can not afford this kind of thinking. Even if they are playing with 5 defenders, they are often making mistakes and letting opponents in 1on1 situation and if they will do those mistakes against Barcelona, then match can finish also with 5+ difference. They're also known as team, making lots of fouls in danger area, which is another fact not on they're side.

FT: 0-3

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