Sunday, 11 December 2016

Post match analysis

Another profitable round behind me. Even if some unexpected situations happened to me this round (Setien exclude Boateng from squad, crazily foggy weather in Dijon) I am satisfied with final result of this weekend. I will add highlights of the matches when they will be available.

Osasuna 0-3 Barcelona
Prediction: Barcelona AH -2 @1,90

Maybe someone will say that I was lucky, because Messi scored for 0-3 just few minutes before the final whistle, but I need to say, that I was actually unlucky. Match was exactly as predicted, with total control and attack of Barcelona, and even if Leon hit the crossbar for Osasuna, they were much much poorer side here and if Nauzet wouldn't have crazy first half, it would be 2-3 goals difference already in first 20 minutes. Barcelona was creating chance after chance, without any problems, but they were unable to put the ball in the net. Followers who are following me for a longer period knows, that I would be happy with this match even if it would finish with incorrect prediction. Analysis was totally correct!

Dijon 1-2 Marseille
Prediction: Marseille AH -0,25 @2,11

I said in analysis that Garcia's men will take possession. They started in this way, but in 6th minute the man in form - Thauvin assisted for 0-1, and after that Marseille started playing little bit more carefully, but still creating chances and holding 50-50 possession. Dijon was mainly dangerous from set-pieces, and in 78th minute Abeid scored for 1-1. After conceded goal Marseille started with higher tempo again, and even if they were without Thauvin, Gomis scored after assist of Sarr in 87th and match was ended. Analysis was not totally correct, as I said that they will take possession, but it's true that possession can change after being in lead, because also tactics changed. Weather was crazily foggy, match was postponed from Friday on Saturday right because of fog, so conditions were not that good and i was not being careful enough!

Bordeaux 0-4 Monaco
Prediction: Monaco AH -0,5 @2,12 

It was a late call, but it was good decision. Monaco came to Bordeaux and destroyed them. In 4 minutes it was already 0-2, and if anyone then Monaco is hardly conceding after good start. As written in analysis they're wings will be too much for Bordeaux and both first two goals came as result of wingplay situation - first was scored from wing, actually from full back Sidibe, while at second goal came after good run behind the back of Silva by Germain, and nice cross in the box, where Falcao started his hattrick. Both correct!

Las Palmas 1-1 Leganes
Prediction: Las Palmas AH -0,5 @1,826

Wrong call here. Analysis was correct, but maybe little bit too fast published. After it was published ,coach of Las Palmas Setien, decided that he won't include Araujo and Boateng in the squad. Araujo was doubtful, so I was counting on his missing, but there was nothing about first goalscorer of Las Palmas - Boateng, and of course things changed little bit. Anyway, even without them Las Palmas was in solid position to win the match. As predicted, they were much better in possessioin (almost 70%), they had much better passing %, but unfortunately without Araujo and specially Boateng, they were not enough creative in last third of the pitch, mainly trying with shots from distance, while Leganes created some good chances to score. As analysed, Leganes is pretty poor offensive because of injuries of they're best offensive players Szymanovski and IbaƱez, but in 76th minute they did it - from penalty spot. 

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