Monday, 12 December 2016

Rennes - Bastia

Early call. I wanted to take it already yesterday, but then I saw cup matches in midweek, but I will do it anyway. Odds already dropped from 1,98 to 1,92, but in my opinion odds should be around 1,65. Because it's an early pick, stake will be "only" 5/10. You can still find odds above 2 on some soft bookies.

PICK: Rennes AH -0,5 @1,93 SBO 5/10

Match between 5th and 18th placed team of French Ligue 1 will be played on Rhozaon Park in Rennes on Saturday at 20:00.

Rennes is coming to match after defeat in Lyon, but fact is that they were simply unlucky in this match. Already in first half they had crazy chances, but Lopes was saving everything. I wrote a lot about them this season, I really like the way how they play. They are strong on wings, specially left one where is N'tep. We were able to see Said back, so Gourcuff has more rotation options as before. Bansebaini received red card against Lyon, but Mendes is back after suspension. They are also pretty well organised in defence and prepared on matches with good tactics.

Bastia won against Metz at home, flying on great performance of Saint-Maximin, about who I already spoke. Metz had they're chances, Mandjeck hit the crossbar, but I need to say that Bastia deserved to win. They are taking a lot of long shots, that's why they have almost the same number of shots per game in average like Rennes. They play draw in Nice, but it should be at least 3 goals difference. I was talking about this match a lot. Same with match against Lyon. They're often trying with long balls, or waiting if Maximin will do something individually, or if any ball will bounce to Crivelli, but otherwise they are without some good game plan, tactic, anything.

In my opinion Rennes is simply too good and underestimated from bookmakers this time. They're game style with attacking over the wings, also with lot's through balls and also individual qualities (N'tep, Gourcuff, Sio, Grosicki,...) will make difference on Rhoazon. That will be the last match of this year for Rennes at home, after that they're travelling to Lille, while Bastia will play against OM at home.

FT: 1-2

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