Sunday, 22 January 2017

Athletic Bilbao - Atletico Madrid

PICK: Atletico Madrid AH -0,5 @2,11 PINNACLE 5/10

Match between 7th placed Athletic Bilbao and 4th placed Atletico Madrid will be played on San Mames Barria in Bilbao and it will start at 16:15.

Bilbao is coming to match after 3 pretty disappointed results. First they won against Barcelona in Copa del Rey (2-1), and then they played draw against Deportivo Alaves at home, then lost 2nd match against Barcelona with 3-1, and then another draw but this time against Leganes. For match against Atletico they will miss best striker Aduriz and key man in midfield - Benat. Of course they are tough team at home but missing two of their most important players will be tough to replace.

As I said on last time, Atletico changed back to old "Atleti style". In their way they won some of last matches and looks that morale in club is better and that they are trying to come as close as possible to top3. Barcelona is 4 points in front of them, so every mistake could be crucial. On the other hand, also Villarreal and Real Sociedad are only 2-3 points behind so not even 4th place is safe for Atleti right now. They still miss first goalkeeper Oblak, but most important thing is that they got their "mojo" back and that they are going to matches with confidence. There is lot of rumours about Griezmann, but he is back on score list and even if he will leave in summer, he will give his best till end of the season and I am not worried by lack of motivation from his side.

It's not totally clear with which lineup will start El Cholo, but fact is that he has lot of quality players and that in any case he will have 1 or 2 strong players to change the rhythm of the game on the bench as well. I wouldn't be surprised if Atletico will let possession to Bilbao and focus on counter attacks in this match and defending counters is the biggest weakness of Basque club. I think that we'll see tough match, with some chances on both sides, but as mentioned above, I think that Bilbao can not replace Benat and Aduriz, and that Atletico will be simply too strong. Odds are pretty fine, and I think that everything over 2,05 is valuable.

FT: 2-2

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