Sunday, 15 January 2017

Caen - Lyon

PICK: Lyon AH -0,5 @1,76 PINNACLE 4/10

Match between 19th and 4th placed team in French Ligue 1 will be played on Stade Michel d'Ornano in Caen, at 17:00.

Caen who will play postponed match against Nantes in midweek is currently on 19th spot, and situation looks pretty bad. Even if they're tough home team, able to surprise bigger clubs - they won Nice 1-0 on November, I think that they will be in relegation fight till end of the season. Today they will miss central defender Youssef who is on ACN, while 2-3 players are not fully fit, but otherwise coach Garande can count on whole team. 

Lyon is coming to match after 4 wins in row. They succeeded also in Monaco (1-3) and that's just proving they're quality this year. They have some great individuals, coach Genesio found the way how to play with all of them and results are getting better and better. They will miss Ghezzal and Nkolou due to ACN, but they have lots of quality players, so Genesio will be still able to put very strong lineup, with some players to change the tempo of the game also from the bench. Good information for OL is that Gonalons is fully fit, so Tolisso's place on the pitch will be well replaced. 

All in all, Lyon is simply stronger team. If we would have match like this in any other league, odds on favourite would be between 1,3 and 1,5. In France is slightly different, but I will take advantage of it. Lyon will be better team on the pitch, having more chances, having more dangerous chances for sure. Being strong with counter-attacks, having so much of individual quality, and also being dangerous from set-pieces.. I think that it will be simply too much for home team. It is raining in Caen at 8 degrees, wind is not too strong so I believe that conditions will be fine for the match.

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