Saturday, 14 January 2017

Lorient - Guingamp

PICK: over 2,5 @1,98 PINNACLE 3/10

Derby match between 20th and 5th placed team of French Ligue 1 will be played on Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir in Lorient, today at 20:00.

Lorient will miss two important players - Moukandjo and Toure, but with won against Nice in Coupe de France, they're morale is boosted, and I believe that they will try to do everything to snap all three points from another team from Bretagne. It will be hard to substitute Toure who is one of main defenders of the team, and Moukandjo who is in my opinion "first star" of this team. Anyway Waris and Marveaux are still here, so attack of Lorient will be strong anyway. Maybe this will be the time that Cabot will show his potential! He impressed me in first match against Nice and I really see something good in this 22 year old winger.

Guingamp is one of the biggest surprises so far. They're holding 5th position, they have great coach, but in my opinion they won't be able to hold this position. I think that they will be somewhere around 10th position. They will miss important defender Ikoko, and they are without adequate substitution for right full back position. 

Both teams have solid attacks, and I specially for home team draw means nothing, so they will try to do everything to win the derby. Lorient likes to be in possession, while Guingamp is pretty strong from counter-attacks and they like to play with long balls. Both teams are not among the best defensively, specially Lorient who conceded 38 goals in 19 matches. I think that as both teams have problems in defence, we'll watch open match with lots of created chances and I think that odds are still to high, as bookmakers are seeing this match pretty 50/50 about over/under 2,5 goals.

FT: 3-1

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