Friday, 17 February 2017

Lorient - Nice

PICK: over 2,5 @2,01 PINNACLE 5/10

Match between 20th and 3rd placed team in Ligue 1 will be played on Stade La Moustoir in Lorient and it will start at 20:00 on Saturday.

Lorient is coming to match after disappointing defeat against St. Etienne, but they started match without Waris, Moukandjo and Marveaux. Three key players of this time in my opinion. Moukandjo just returned with gold from ACN, while Marveaux was injured. He participated on trainings this week so I expect him back in the squad. With Moukandjo back, this team will be much stronger in attack, while also Waris and Jeannot are ready to play. Poor defence remain the biggest problem of this team and they can not compete with Nice with some defensive style, because they will concede sooner or later.

Nice played 2-2 on Rhoazon in Rennes, but they were 2 goals down after 20 minutes of the match. They didn't play bad, actually they played quite solid even without both main strikers Balotelli and Plea. Last one got injured in 35min, and he was substituted later on. It is possible to feel some problems inside of the team as some players started talking about Balotelli reaction after Favre let him on the bench in match against St. Etienne. Rumours are saying that he was not injured/sick, but he simple didn't want to participate on match against Rennes (source). Anyway, they have strong team and they need to keep good results, because even if they are 13 points in front of Lyon, there is still 39 points "in the game" and everything can change pretty easily. Plea is out for this match, but Balotelli should be in the squad. Even if not, young Donis has shown that he is quite solid and even with him, Nice can cause big problems to Lorient's defence.

Both teams struggled defensively. Specially Lorient who scored 27 and received 51 goals this season. Reason for scoring little bit less recently is absolutely they're key striker Moukandjo, who played for Cameroon , but with him back, I think that they can still avoid the relegation this season. Gap between teams down there is getting bigger now, and it's time to get the points. Even if they are playing against Nice, I expect Casoni to attack from first second as they are one of the worst if not the worst team defensively in the league. For example if Nantes would have players like Marveaux, Moukandjo and Waris, I think that they would be in top7. Nice is strong in midfield, but slow in defence and Lorient knows how to punish that. Both teams are known to let many chances to opponent during the game, and for me odds on over here are simply too high.

FT: 0-1

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