Saturday, 18 February 2017

Marseille - Rennes

PICK: Marseille AH -0,5 @1,78 PINNACLE 5/10

Match between 6th and 10th placed team in Ligue 1 will be played on Velodrome in Marseille and it will start at 17:00 on Saturday.

Marseille is coming to match after 3-2 defeat against Nantes. Nantes played one of the best matches this season, really well organised, with only few errors in positioning. Their attacking and defensive line were maybe on 25m distance and Marseille had problems to get through. Before this match I was thinking in the way, that I hope that Nantes will surprise and take the points and that I will go strongly with Marseille against Rennes, as they really didn't impress me against Nice. I will go with middle stake, because OM will miss Sakai, Fanni and Gomis.

Rennes is coming from 2-2 draw against Nice. They started really good with early 2 goals lead but even though they have really good coach, without N'tep, Gourcuff, Grosicki,... they are simply missing quality.

Marseille needs to bounce back. They have big plans for the next season, but if they wants to catch 4th placed Lyon, then only win counts on matches like this. Rennes is "safe"; they will have another mid-table season and even if they looked as a team who could go in top6 on start of the season, they don't look like that after selling N'tep and with injured Gourcuff. They're only possibility will be counter-attacks, but I believe that Rudi Garcia knows it. Odds were around 1,60 on start and now they are almost for 0,2 higher. I wouldn't play it at 1,6, but it's totally different here. Odds rised only because of Gomis. Probably little bit also because of suspended two defenders, but I think that Garcia will go in the match with 3 defenders, as he has Evra now and he is well adapted to play as defender in 3 as he played that role many times in Juventus. I even think that he is better in this formation right now. And in attack, it's true that it won't be easy to put someone instead of Gomis, but that's just the reason for tactic changes. They have a lot of potential in attack and I simply believe in OM today. As mentioned above, they need a bounce back and they will get it!

FT: 2-0

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