Friday, 24 February 2017

Nantes - Dijon

PICK: Nantes AH -0,75 @2,00 PINNACLE 5/10

Match between 13th and 17th placed team in French Ligue 1 will be played on Stade La Beaujoire in Nantes and it will start at 19:00 today.


Nantes is coming to match after being robed in last minutes of the match against Metz. They will miss Djidji, which means that his place will take veteran Vizcarrondo, what is not the fact which I would like the most, but with 1,91m he might be even better choice to cover Tavares. Sergio Oliveira will miss the match as well, but he didn't play bigger role so far. After suspension Amine Harit is back, Iloki is fully fit, and Nakoulma could get his first minutes on Beaujoire as well. Conceicao said that he will start with Bamou for who he wants that he scores, and wishes that fans will stop "booing" him, because past should be forgotten.

Dijon is coming to match after they have almost snapped points in Lyon, but they played poor and they were enormously lucky that result in first half was 1-1 instead of 3-0. They will miss almost all their important midfielders in this match: Abeid (19m/3g), Lees-Melou (21m/5g), Martin (5m) and Marie (21m/1g), while also full back Chafik (20m) joined injured part of the team. 

Match will be important for both sides, and I was really close to go with btts on this one, but I saw lots of matches of Nantes under Conceicao, and they will press high, they will create chances through the flanks, they have x factor this time in Nakoulma, with positive energy which will be given from fans I think that Nantes will take those 3 points and jump little bit higher. Right now they are still only 3 points above the danger zone and after this match they will face Monaco, Montpellier and Nice in next 4 matches, so they simply need those points if they don't want to be under pressure. I am pretty confident, because they are playing good, for example against Nancy they created so many good opportunities to score, but they were unlucky and too bad at finishing. Now, with Conceicao, they have confidence, they have also the way how they play, they are not just one team who will show up on the pitch and play something (like we were used to see under Girard) and even if Dijon is not facing easy schedule neither, and the match will be very important for them as well as they are lower on the table, I think that they will simply have problems with build-up and that that will be decisive factor tonight. Without regulars in midfield I predict problems at connecting defensive part of the team with Diony and Tavares. Also Chafik, who is propulsive wingback, making many solid crosses is out so if Dubois, Vizcarrondo, Carlos and Lima won't make any bigger individual errors, which could lead to 100% chance, then I think that Dijon will have big problems to create chances by themselves. With Rongier and Gillet, recently in really good form, I also think that Nantes will steal a lot of balls in the midfield and I strongly believe that they will be little bit less unlucky today... if so, then we can expect win with 2 goals. If Nantes wants to become stable team in the league, then they need to return fame to La Beaujoire and win as many points as possible at home.

FT: 3-1

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