Sunday, 19 February 2017

Valencia - Athletic Bilbao

PICK: over 2,5 goals @2,04 PINNACLE 6/10

Match between 15th and 8th placed team in La Liga will be played on Mestalla in Valencia and will start at 16:15 on Sunday.

Valencia is coming to match after goalless draw in Sevilla against Betis, where Sanchez closed down his team with 5 defenders. It will be slighlty different today, as Bilbao will want to get something more than 1 point out of this match. Mina and Rodrigo are still out, but Valencia has enough of offensive players. With recent signings Zaza and Orellana, they just strenghthen their attack and with Parejo, Munir, Nani,.. they have quality players which should perform better. Their position is far from what we are used to see from team as Valencia. 

Bilbao didn't score in last 3 away matches, and it's time that this change. Opponent will be perfect for that, as last team who didn't score on Mestalla was Eibar on 20 of April last year! Ironic is that this Eibar scored 4 goals on Mestalla two weeks ago. Bilbao played tough match against APOEL and even if 2nd match is coming on next Thursday, I think that Valverde won't mix the team too much. Their position on table is also not the position they wants, but they are not far from 6th position as 6th placed Villarreal is just one point above them. Balenziaga is injured which means that Lekua could get his position on left flank, but otherwise Bilbao is without any major injuries.

Odds for over surprised me here, as both teams are more attacking minded and even if Bilbao's recent away form is poor, with player as Raul Garcia is, who likes to come to the box from second plan I am sure that they will score against Valencia whos defence is one of the poorest in their history. Bilbao didn't lose against Valencia in 9 of 10 matches which is just proving that their style is not suiting Valencia. Aduriz, Inaki, Raul, this team is even able to trash Valencia if they will have a bad day (as Eibar did), but on the other hand, Valencia can also win this match with 3-0, and that's why I am going in it with over 2,5 instead of both teams to score. I trully expect goals here, odds are favourising under and I disagree with that.

FT: 2-0

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