Tuesday, 14 March 2017

Juventus - Porto

PICK: Juventus AH -0,5 @1,74 PINNACLE 2/10

2nd leg of Champions league match between Juventus and Porto will be played in Torino, on Juventus Stadium. Referees are coming from Romania, main referee will be Hategan.

Juventus won derby against Milan with goal from the dubious penalty, deeply in additional time. Anyway, win is win and they are comfortably sitting on first place of Serie A with 8 point more than 2nd placed Roma. Only absent for Allegri's side is Sturaro, while Barzagli is doubtful but Italians will still be able to put strong defensive line. With individuals like Dybala, Higuain, Pjanić, Cuadrado, Khedira, Bonucci, Chiellini, they are one of the favourites to reach the trophy this season. They won in Portugal 0-2, which gives them big advantage in front of this match, but I don't believe in any calculations here and in my opinion they will get another win.

Porto is 2nd placed team in Primeira with point less than Benfica and I think that after unsuccessful 1st leg, they are putting bigger focus on league. It's true that they in next round they are facing poor opponent Vitoria Setubal, but playing after Champions league, specially on tough away match in Torino can be problematic and anyway, Vitoria already took points to Porto, as match in Setubal finished 0-0. That they are super motivated against top3 teams proves the fact, that they won both Benfica and Sporting this season. Without doubt, Nuno Espirito Santo will start with the strongest lineup (only Telles is absent because of red card).

After surprise of Barcelona, who returned after 4-0, all teams are boosted with hopes. Even if being 2 goals behind Juventus and playing on their stadium sounds horrible, they will try to surprise, but for that, they will need to attack. And to attack as experienced team as Juventus is,... it won't finish well in my opinion. I am surprised by the odds and in my opinion bookmakers are giving to much of credits to fact that Juventus has 2 goals advantage. Match will start with 0-0, and why would they want to gamble with the match? Experiences are huge factor in Champions league and in my opinion Juventus will win 2nd leg as well.

FT: 1-0

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