Tuesday, 7 March 2017

Marseille - Angers

PICK: Marseille AH -0,75 @1,92 SBO 6/10

6th Olympique de Marseille who is coming to match after big win in Lorient (1-4) will host 10th Angers (who is also coming from away win - they've beaten Caen 2-3). Match will be played on Velodrome on 10th of March.

Marseille who made the biggest changes in winter transfer window lost thriller match in Coupe de France against Monaco (3-4 after 120') and lost opportunity to qualify for Europe League through the cup. Luckily finals will be between PSG and Monaco, which means that 6th place will qualify for Europe as well. Right now OM is sitting right on 6th place, but Saint-Etienne is just two points behind them, while Rennes, Toulouse and also Angers are still on reachable distance (6 points - actually also 13th place Montpellier is still less than 10 points behind). I believe that Rudi Garcia will be focused to beat Bordeaux and if Lyon will let them closer, even them and finish on 4th, but to beat OL they will really really need a strong finish of the season. Can they do it? Last news are saying that Gomis is close to return to the squad. He will probably join his teammates on trainings this week, but it's unsure if he will participate against Angers. 

Angers is flying high lately. After goalless draw against Rennes, they won 5 matches in row. After beating Bastia in Coupe de France, they will play against Bordeaux in next round. Other 4 matches were in Ligue 1 (they've beaten Lille, Nancy, Bastia and Caen). It's true that they had really good schedule as all those teams are down on the table and Moulin's guys did it great, but I think that their fantastic run will finish on Velodrome. They have good memories from last year, when they won 1-2 in Marseille, but things are totally different this year. Marseille is much more serious team this season. 

One of the main threats of Angers will be in set-pieces as they are pretty strong in aerial duels, but they are playing against team who is great in this aspect as well. Marseille won only 2 matches in last 5 and I believe that win over Lorient will raised their motivation on higher level and they will do everything to beat Angers here. In general I really like to bet against average teams in good run, as I don't believe that they can extend it to much, specially because they've already won some matches with being lucky. On the other hand Bordeaux is playing in Monaco in this round, which means that Marseille could jump on 5th place.

FT: 3-0

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