Wednesday, 15 March 2017

Metz - Bastia

PICK: Metz AH -0,5 @2,02 PINNACLE 6/10

On Friday evening in Longeville-lès-Metz on St. Symphorien 16th placed Metz will host 19th Bastia who has one match more but 7 points less.

Metz played 2-2 in Saint-Etienne in last round. They were twice in front, but when it already looked like they will take big 3 points from tough away match, home captain Perrin scored equalising goal in additional time. Defender Diagne is coming back after suspension. Nothing will drastically change for Hinschberger, who will be able to put strong lineup with Diabate, Cohade and Sarr in the team.

Bastia poor away form continues. Guingamp pushed them into row of 6 matces without a point with goal difference 22-2! As analysed on last week, I expected win of Guingamp, but I need to admit, that I didn't expect 5 goals in the net of Corsicans. As something totally normal, they received another red card, and they can be lucky that they didn't receive two of them, as Nangis could finish match already in first half. Coach Almeida rather substituted him in 56th minute. They are probably getting Crivelli back in squad, but things are not fine there. It's obvious that they are not, and yet they will have another problem with missing player as Danic (last player receiving red card) is one of important figures of the team (set-piece taker).

It's true that Metz didn't win in last 5 matches, but they are not playing as bad as Bastia. They are on unbeaten run on St. Symphorien since 23th of October, when they lost against Nice. After that they have 3 wins and 5 draws. They've beaten Montpellier, Marseille and Dijon, and all of those teams are better than Bastia in regular conditions. Right now, Bastia is far from regular conditions, and putting all the hopes on one player (St. Maximine) won't be enough in my opinioin. Metz will be eager to get important 3 points before the national break. Right now 18th Nancy is 4 points behind them and with 3 points they will have calmer break. It won't be the same for Bastia, who will stay on 25 points in this case, 3 points behind 18th place which bring qualification match to stay in the league.

FT: 1-0

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