Saturday, 11 March 2017

Rennes - Dijon

PICK: Dijon over 0,75 goals @2,09 PINNACLE 3/10

Tonight at 20:00 on Rhoazon Park home team Rennes will try to beat Dijon and close the gap with Bordeaux on 3 points.

I was writing a lot about Rennes recently, as I think that without N'tep, Grosicki, ... they are not as strong team as they were. They proved me wrong with 2-2 draw against Nice, then with equalising goal in Metz on last week, even holding Lorient without scoring... They will be without Mendes, Amalfitano, Janvier and Chantome, which means that they could start in 4-4-2 with Sio and Said up front. With Gourcuff in the lineup, their midfield is stronger as well and I expect them to score at least once.

For 18th Dijon, every single match is like final, as Bastia is only 2 points behind. They won Caen 2-0 at home, but after that booked 3 defeats in row, but it's true that they were playing some tough matches and also that they were not able to count on both main strikers Tavares and Diony for all of them. Now, they are back and if anything, their attacking line will be dangerous.

I was thinking about +0,5 on Dijon here, but Rennes keeps "working against me", so I decided to take those higher odds for Dijon over 0,75 goals. They conceded 45 goals in 28 matches, and they are far from the team, who could play defensively to win points, specially not against team like Rennes. If Dijon will want to get something out of this match, than they will need to score! With Diony and Tavares in attack, Lees-Melou on the wing (mutually they scored 19 of 37 goals this season).

FT: 1-1 hw

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