Thursday, 2 March 2017

Sevilla - Athletic Bilbao

PICK: Sevilla AH -0,75 @1,854 PINNACLE 4/10

Match between 3rd and 8th placed team will be played on Sanchez Pizjuan in Sevilla and will start at 21:30 on Wednesday.


Sevilla is coming to match after beating Betis on city derby. In first half it looked like Betis could snap points from their rival, but in second half Sampaoli changed few things and hit them with different tactics which worked. Sevilla deserved their win, and with todays 3 points they would continue in the battle for La Liga, while if they will drop points, things can get finished pretty soon as we can expect pretty strong finishing by Real and Barcelona. Pareja, Nzonzi and Sarabia are all out due to suspensions, Vitolo due to injury, but good news are that Ganso, Walter and Lenglet are back in the squad. Sampaoli is taking match deadly serious, as a final, and I believe that one of most wanted coaches will prepare good tactics for todays match.

Bilbao is coming to match after beating Granada with 3-1, but due to poor performances away from San Mames Barria, they are on 8th place, behind Eibar, Villarreal and Real Sociedad with who they will probably beat the battle for Europa league. They are still without Aduriz, Laporte, Balenziaga and De Marcos, with who this team would look much stronger, but with Valverde on the bench, they will never be easy to beat.

If Sevilla wouldn't be without N'zonzi, stake would be higher. Even without him, I think that motivation of Andalusians will be high as possible. They have chance to take the league and if they want to, they will need to win matches like this one is, specially at home. Bilbao didn't win on Pizjuan since Bielsa was in charge of Basque team. After that Sevilla won 10 matches, and draw 4 of them. I really like this Sevilla with Jovetić up front. He has shown that he feels good in the team and already scored and assisted many important goals. N'Zonzy will be probably substituted by Iborra, while Nasri will have little bit more on free role position. Bilbao surprisingly lost in Europe league, against APOEL, and now they will need to reach higher places if they want to play in Europe in next season. I think that while some other teams grown a little, they even lost a little. Aduriz is little older, and it was obvious that he won't be able to hold good form for majority of matches, Laporte started season right after surgery, and for me those two players are still key part of this squad. Valencia outplayed them, coming to so many chances, and I simply think that Sevilla, who is physically, tactically and mentally much stronger than Valencia, all three points will stay at home.

FT: 1-0half won

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