Friday, 14 April 2017

Nantes - Bordeaux

PICK: over 2,5 goals @2,07 PINNACLE 3/10

On Sunday afternoon, Le Beaujoire will host derby de l'Atlantique between 8th plaed Nantes and 5th Bordeaux. We can expect pretty full stadium, and lots of supporters as Nantes is coming closer and closer to European places.

On the start of the season, predictions for Nantes were pretty bad. After some matches, it looked even worse and Girard left. Sergio Conceiçao took over the coaching baton and after that Nantes lost only 3 league matches - PSG, Monaco and Nancy. His energy and mentality came into players head and they are playing much much better. With winter signing Nakoulma, there is finally someone on who Nantes can rely in attack. Prejuce scored 5 goals in last 4 matches, he has high passing accuracy %, and even if he is only 178cm tall, he is dangerous in aerial duels as well. Team is flying on Rongier and Gillet, who are impressive in this second part of season. There is no major issues for Conceiçao, and we can expect the strongest 11 on the pitch. 

Bordeaux last match was against Metz, and they won with 3-0. They are still pretty unsatisfied with defeat against Angers in Coupe de France, but they are on excellent position to reach League Europe for now. But it's obvious, that letting Nantes to win would mean, that they are only 4 points in front of them, besides there are also Marseille and Saint-Etienne, so match is important for them as well. Jovanovic is suspended, so their defence will be back to pair Lewczuk - Pallois. 

When it comes to important matches, then we are used to see teams playing more careful, but if Bordeaux is not capable of playing defensively. Even if Jovanovic would play, I would take odds above 2 for this outcome, but without him, value is even bigger. First match ended with 1-0, but that was in the period of Girard, when Nantes was all about defence. As I have said on last week, things are different with Portuguese coach, and Nantes will play with high pressing for sure. Conceiçao has some different options on the wing, and he will choose the one who might cause bigger problems to opponent. As Nantes is playing with both full backs pretty offensive, it's many times happening that there are gaps when it comes to counters of opponent and Bordeaux with Malcom and Sabaly on one side, or Kamano and Contento on other, might be much bigger threat than St. Etienne or Angers.

FT: 0-1

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