Friday, 14 April 2017

Montpellier - Lorient

PICK: over 3 goals @2,13 PINNACLE 4/10

On Saturday at 20:00, we'll see the match on Stade de la Mosson, where Montpellier will face Lorient, who finally jumped out of direct relegation positions and is 18th now.  

Montpellier, currently on 14th position, but with only 5 points more than Lorient, and I believe that they don't want to play qualifications for staying in the league. As long as they have Boudebouz in the team, they won't have problems with offensive part of the team, but their defence is simply too poor, and that's the reason why they are where they are. They conceded 55 goals in 32 rounds, but also scored 45 of them. Besides Boudebouz, also Mounie and Sessegnon are in decent form, but again.. both offensive minded players. There are still same players out, so no difficulties for Gasset. We might see Ikone in first eleven, but again.. he is just another great offensive player. 

Lorient was sitting on 20th place for whole season. After being 2 goals behind Nancy, everyone thought that it's over, but Lorient bounced back, won the match in Nancy (2-3), and after this match they managed to win against Caen at home, and surprisingly also in Lyon with 1-4! This team simply needs to play offensively, because as Montpellier, all their key players offensive players (Moukandjo, Marveaux, Waris,..) and they will need to score at least two if not more, to win in Lorient. Casoni has some problems with Peyberness and Aliadiere, who are still not 100% ready, while Paye and Mesloub are out as well.

Lorient and Montpellier are in top 3 when it comes to the worst defence in league. Only Metz, who recently conceded 6 goals in 2 matches is between them. In average, we can see 3,13 goals on Montpellier matches and 3,09 on matches of Lorient. From statistical point of view, this match should go totally in over. Also from the other point of view, Lorient is pretty poor in aerial duels, specially after set pieces, and that might be chance for big guy Mounie, who is best scorer of Montpellier with 13 goals. On the other hand Montpellier with this defence, have no chance to keep clean sheet against Moukandjo, Waris and Marveaux. I am sure, that we will see plenty of decent chances in this match and with offensive potential of both teams, I am sure in goals as well.

FT: 2-0

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