Monday, 3 April 2017

Post match analysis

Guingamp 1-0 Nancy
Prediction: Guingamp AH -0,5


With 73% of possession and 17 goal attempts of Guingamp, they totally deserved a win here. It's a miracle that it stayed only with a goal difference, as they created some very good chances, but attackers efficiency was pretty poor. It's true that red card for Nancy was little bit harsh, but I don't believe that their game style would be much different with 11 players on the pitch.

Lorient 1-0 Caen
Prediction: Lorient team totals over 1,25 half lost


First of all, let me explain why "half lost". Because my prediction was over 1,25 which means (0 goals - lost, 1 goal half lost, 2 goals win - (Asian lines are explained here). It was actually my highest stake, and everyone who has seen the match can confirm, that Lorient missed some "impossible to miss" chances. Already in first 10 minutes, it could be 2-0 for home team. As you can see on the video, Moukandjo missed whole ball while empty goal was in front of him. I cannot be unsatisfied with this pick. For example, analysis for this match was more precise as for Nantes-Angers match, but final prediction is green there.

Nantes 2-1 Angers
Prediction: over 2,25 goals


I need to admit, that Conceiçao surprised me, starting without Iloki, and with Thomasson as "inside wide midfielder" or even in 4-3-3 formation sometimes, with Kačaniklić on the right wing and Thomasson as left central midfielder.. Anyway, Nantes played good, decent football, being in control of the match, being calm with the ball, again stealing a lot of balls in midfield - another great performance by Rongier, and even though at first goal, Nakoulma was half step in offside zone, assistant referee didn't see it, and goal counted. Few minutes later it was 2-0, and right after 2nd goal of Nakoulma, happened exactly that what I wrote in analysis. Cross of Angers on big guy in the box Diedhiou, a bit late reaction by Djidji and 3rd we were able to see all three goals in 8 minutes.

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