Monday, 24 April 2017

Post match analysis

Comment of the round: I have nothing special to say after 100% week. Even if I posted only two official picks, I made 10,6 units of profit and moved stats of Asian handicap market even higher. You can see stats of AH market in the picture bellow, while all other stats are published here!

Dijon 3-2 Angers
Prediction: Dijon AH -0,5

Odds increased right in front of the match, as Moulin send pretty strong lineup on the pitch, regardless on the cup match on Tuesday. Anyway, Dijon started incredibly. They were 3 goals in front after 45 minutes, being better side on the pitch, playing solid also in defence, and after 45 minutes, I was pretty sure that thats it. Unfortunately players of Dijon had the same feeling, and they allowed Angers to score two goals. But let's be honest - first goal came from penalty spot, but you can clearly see in video, that foul was outside of the box and it shouldn't be a penalty! Second goal of Angers was scored only a minute later, but honestly, I don't know what was goalkeeper of Dijon, Reynet doing here. First of all, ball luckily stayed in Ekambi's possession and then Reynet looked like if he wants to let them to score. Anyway, match finished with home win as predicted, Dijon was better side, even if they were not in possession, but thats not their strongest factor. As I wrote in analysis, they are simply not relegation material, and in my opinion they will save their skin this season.

Lyon 1-2 Monaco
Prediction: Monaco AH 0

Monaco is still there. Still on the first position, with one match less than main opponent PSG. They started extremely well. Lemar had chance from free kick in 5th minute, Falcao missed his attempt in 8th, Mbappe shot was saved by Lopes in 13th minute, so right from the start Monaco shown who will be the master on the pitch. It's true that Lyon had little bit more of possession, but Monaco's style is different. They are not big fans of possession, but they are creating dozens of chances when they are in control of the ball. Not just that they created more chances, they won almost 60% of aerial duels, and except two headers of Tousart (one finished in the goal), Lyon were not capable to create some serious chances. As you'll see on highlights, Bernardo Silva was really close to score a screamer, but crossbar saved Lopes.

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