Sunday, 14 May 2017

Caen - Rennes

PICK: Rennes AH +0,75 @1,961 PINNACLE 3/10

Stade Michel d'Ornano will host match between home, 16th placed Caen and 10th Rennes. Right now, Caen is 3 points in front of Dijon and with draw they would be at least a point in front, but in last round they are going to Paris, so todays match is very important for them.

Caen won only once in last 8 matches and anyway they are in good position to avoid relegation. I have spoken a lot about them lately, maybe even being too cruel sometimes, but against Toulouse they have proven again, that all they know is cross and header. Today they will be without midfilders Bessat, Adeoti and Seube, Malbranque, defender Yahia and forwards Bazile and Louis. Some of them are really important for the squad, and I don't see them as favourites in this match. 

Rennes is in mid-table, they sold two important players of the team during the winter transfer window, so it's not that strange to see the fact, that they haven't won away match since October. Anyway, they are specialised for draws, and besides we cannot say that their team is poor. In last 10 away matches, they played 7 draws and lost 3 times. When coaches son Yoann is fit as he should be today, they are creating enough of chances and with their strict 4-4-1-1 formation they will be hard to beat. 

Rennes isn't among a poor teams of the league, which makes it more difficult for Caen. I am not sure if they will try to do everything for win here. I believe that they will have one eye on other results. But even if they will need to win, they are simply not good enough for me personally. If they will go all out to attack, they will concede from counter for sure, as Rennes is tactically well prepared and I wouldn't be surprise to see them winning the match. Odds are short on Caen, especially because bookmakers know that people are in love with "must win" bets at the end of the season. But guess what, someone will need to be relegated!

FT: 0-1

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