Saturday, 6 May 2017

Guingamp - Dijon

PICK: Dijon AH +0,25 @1,98 PINNACLE 3/10

Stade du Roudourou will host match between 10th placed Guingamp and 17th Dijon. 

Guingamp was in amazing situation to reach European cups through Coupe de France, but they lost against Angers so all after all, it will be just an average season of Kombouare's men. Brazilian full back Marçal is one of the most important figures of Guingamp this season (29 matches, 7 assists). He won't be in the squad today as he renew his problems with calf. Besides him, Kombouare won't be able to count on defenders Sankoh, Martins-Pereira, Leveque, goalkeeper Salin and midfielder Benezet. They lost 4 of last 5 matches and I wouldn't be surprised if they will stay on 12 wins in this season.

Dijon is in position, where they need points. They are on 17th place, but 18th placed Caen has the same amount of points, while Nancy and Bastia are just 1 and 2 points behind. With 3 rounds till end, every single point will be important and with only two missing players (Rufli and Marie), Dali'Oglio has strong eleven available. We can expect similar lineup as against Bordeaux. They have shown that they are capable to steal points to teams fighting for European spots, so why not to Guingamp, which is in pretty bad shape lately? Tavares, Diony, Abeid, Lees-Melou, .. are fit and I believe that they will take at least a point.

Dijon has poor away record, but anyway they snap a draw in Rennes and Marseille and they were pretty close to upset Monaco on last away match (2-1 at the end). Guingamp has decent home record, but with so many players missing, also after disappointed defeat against an underdog Angers in cup match, without Marçal and probably with winger Coco on left back position, I think that Dijon will create some good chances. With Tavares and Diony (together they've scored 19 goals this season), they are strong enough not only to snap a point, but also to win the match, Guingamp have made dozens of fouls in dangerous areas, and Dijon is strong from set-pieces around the box. With Tavares they are really strong in aerial duels in the box and if they were able to score in Lyon, they are capable to score on Roudourou as well. It will be tough to hold the clean sheet against players as Salibur and Briand, but as mentioned, I believe that Dijon can at least follow Guingamp with scored goals. Anyway, match could stay in under and I decided to pick +0,25 on Dijon, which means that prediction will be half won already if match finishes with draw.

FT: 4-0

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