Saturday, 12 August 2017

Brighton - Manchester City

PICK: Manchester City first half -0,5 @1,81 PINNACLE 3/10

The American Express Community Stadium will host 1st round of Premier league. Home Brighton&Hove Albion will face Manchester City.

Brighton is newly promoted team, who will face one of the toughest opponents in the league. We can expect them to see in defensive minded 4-5-1 (4-4-1-1) formation. Even if I think that they will prepare some surprises this season, especially at home, where fans cannot wait to see their Amex stadium hosting Premier league. Their last friendly match was against world-class opponent. They played against Atletico Madrid and lost only with 2-3. We need to mention, that Atletico will start their season a week later, so Premier league teams were much further in preparations, but losing only for a goal and scoring two goals against one of the best defensive teams in the world sounds extremely good. Taking a whole picture, they were not able to keep possession against the team, who don't like to have it. Atletico had more than 60% of possession and Brighton had problems with creating some decent chances in the match, even though they scored twice.

Manchester City had a crazy summer. Some people are saying that it's crazy, unreal, even unfair, how much money they spent, but on the other hand, as Guardiola said, they had one of the oldest teams in Europe. They haven't bought any full backs for several years and all of them were practically over 30. With new, young signings, City average age dropped to 24 and will allow their coach to rotate much more. Superior full back Mendy isn't ready yet, as well as Gundogan who missed half of last season, but all other key players are in the squad. Winning Real Madrid with 4-1, Tottenham with 3-0 and at the end West Ham with 3-0 as well, Citizens are decided to take some silverwares this season. We can expect plenty of rotations during the season, but this time Pep will rotate between high quality players.

City will be strongly in control of the ball. I wouldn't be surprised to see more than 70% of possession on their side and except of an early goal of Brighton, I think that nothing can stop Citizens today. Team will be better and better during the season. Expectations are high, but players learned a lot last season, so I believe to see them in better shape this time. With Walker and today probably Danilo on full back positions (or wide midfield), we can expect City overlapping on both sides and I am confident, that they will create at least 4-5 100% chances in this match.

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